Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 801.924438 911.592615 1036.239339 1189.560374 1374.678556 1593.042408 1873.226124
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 675.815893 813.555794 982.963325 1210.422857 1513.827474 1913.652780 2496.492765
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 610.602127 763.033545 960.589466 1242.325669 1645.920699 2223.820989 3155.830413
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 544.066961 698.946426 907.708935 1219.553936 1692.252789 2416.809184 3691.163346
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 504.912642 664.904454 888.354511 1236.758523 1793.948079 2706.852079 4460.832055
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 476.161564 641.154298 879.138778 1265.227767 1914.872567 3050.858479 5439.110797
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 444.452323 609.335483 853.503875 1262.900261 1982.114812 3313.250480 6350.223627
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 410.858887 571.370810 814.106075 1232.094168 1992.935022 3470.176846 7090.015916
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 391.387488 552.860123 802.761511 1246.095854 2086.289877 3811.044775 8417.725483
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 363.812858 519.512366 764.402781 1208.088032 2073.656162 3924.628885 9203.000690
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 341.395780 492.606307 734.173096 1180.907692 2077.708285 4075.954925 10174.764653
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 319.405571 464.872994 700.300683 1143.248902 2054.328667 4157.864594 10978.377170
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 310.002327 458.556164 704.939546 1184.003748 2216.955179 4776.437875 14184.125033
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 298.377532 447.728328 700.894626 1208.000104 2350.022556 5376.436747 17998.552950
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 288.949203 439.640982 700.572546 1238.827508 2505.365824 6104.713117 23365.708349
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 273.081371 419.316461 676.126147 1216.423436 2526.357951 6435.659644 27222.889475
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 263.803885 409.746710 670.639492 1233.484821 2651.912888 7168.908580 34934.903099
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 256.629144 403.319400 670.397183 1261.878659 2814.988465 8125.150584 46831.740893
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 246.471325 390.820483 657.325708 1259.551948 2892.498655 8804.180417 58733.309146
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 234.027583 373.403359 633.252895 1228.856349 2881.377244 9119.340011 68176.776031
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 227.216915 365.913966 628.308504 1242.808287 3008.728232 10125.909922 91721.107077
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 215.691593 349.009376 603.133361 1204.933583 2966.549514 10320.422141 104418.293545
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 206.017660 335.089736 583.154659 1177.847413 2954.628256 10671.740325 123191.775041